Autori: Georgios Tsaples; Stefano Armenia

Tipologia Prodotto: Articolo in rivista

DOI: 10.1504/IJASS.2016.079095

Titolo della Rivista: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED SYSTEMIC STUDIES

Numero; Volume: 6

Numero prima e ultima pagina: 258 – 270

Codice ISSN: 1751-0589

Anno di Pubblicazione: 2016

Link: https://www.inderscience.com/info/inarticle.php?artid=79095

Abstract:

One of the most challenging issues that policy makers will face in the near future is population ageing and its consequences in pension systems. The purpose of the paper is to investigate the effect of the increase in the retirement age on the pension scheme of Greece, by also taking into account social unrest that can inhibit the policy implementation. A model of Greece’s pension scheme was modelled, using the methodology of system dynamics. The results showed that the increase in retirement age is not as effective as regarded in real world and under appropriate conditions, the pension scheme could be sustainable without raising the retirement age.

Keywords: system dynamics; pension systems; social security; population ageing; policy modelling; retirement age; simulation; scenario modelling; pensions; Greece; social unrest; policy implementation.

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